One of the most famous examples is the real-world study of a firefighting crew, via cognitive researcher and intuition expert Gary Klein. To call it “recognition-primed” is to acknowledge that the force behind all this is not mystery or magic, but rather rapid-fire subconscious interpretation of signals from the environment.Įxpert intuition, also known as recognition-primed decision making, applies to all kinds of fields and all kinds of situations, some of them with very high stakes. “RPD strategy” is the study of how experts make intuitive decisions in complex situations.

Expert-level intuition is more formally known as “recognition-primed decision making.” There is something called the recognition-primed decision model, or RPD for short. There is a technical term for what we are describing here. When your intuition has been trained to steer you in the right direction, it means you can “trust your gut” and lean into it, with intuitive signals reinforcing your odds of investment success. It doesn’t mean you always avoid mistakes or losses - even the greatest investors in the world make judgment errors and take losses from time to time.īut it does mean your intuition as an investor can be your ally rather than your enemy, which is a very big thing. You don’t have to force the issue or fight against yourself. When you have this as an investor, making the correct decision comes naturally most of the time. You can develop an intuitive sense of investing - what some would call “a gut feeling” - where your gut is trained to do the right thing, and the proper move to make simply “feels” right. What does it mean to have good intuition, or even expert-level intuition? And is it possible to develop this with investing?

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